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Dallas Stars vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 31, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 31, 2026.

January 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

74:23 together · 10 games

xG share71.2%
Corsi for / against
79 / 49
Fenwick for / against
52 / 33
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
61.2%
xG for / against
3.51 / 1.42
Defense pair

120:49 together · 8 games

xG share50.7%
Corsi for / against
98 / 91
Fenwick for / against
66 / 60
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
4.02 / 3.91
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

98:42 together · 9 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
121 / 80
Fenwick for / against
87 / 63
Corsi share
60.2%
Fenwick share
58.0%
xG for / against
5.15 / 5.08
Defense pair

146:01 together · 10 games

xG share54.6%
Corsi for / against
171 / 129
Fenwick for / against
121 / 97
Corsi share
57.0%
Fenwick share
55.5%
xG for / against
9.08 / 7.53
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
87.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
27.7

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Jan 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
31.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
2.76
xG against / game
2.57
xG differential / game
0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
3.47
xG differential / game
-0.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.9
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
52.3
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.0
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
4.9

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
15Points16
0.682Points %0.667
32Goals for46
20Goals against40
12Goal differential6
W5Current streakW1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
5Games5
3Wins4
7Points8
7Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
7-2-1Record6-4-0
15Points12
32Goals for36
16Goals against39
16Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 1 wins
2 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
Total goals5 – 5
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game2.5 / 2.5
Shots per game27.5 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 15, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
1 - 2 27 - 27 View
Nov 28, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 30 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.