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Dallas Stars vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 15, 2026.

January 15, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

100:03 together · 10 games

xG share65.3%
Corsi for / against
114 / 70
Fenwick for / against
80 / 55
Corsi share
62.0%
Fenwick share
59.3%
xG for / against
5.45 / 2.90
Defense pair

120:42 together · 9 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
86 / 80
Fenwick for / against
56 / 51
Corsi share
51.8%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
4.50 / 3.62
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

72:05 together · 10 games

xG share57.8%
Corsi for / against
76 / 65
Fenwick for / against
51 / 45
Corsi share
53.9%
Fenwick share
53.1%
xG for / against
3.26 / 2.38
Defense pair

144:01 together · 10 games

xG share56.2%
Corsi for / against
164 / 152
Fenwick for / against
120 / 106
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
53.1%
xG for / against
9.02 / 7.04
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
89.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.9

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Jan 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
92.6
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
31.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.41
xG against / game
3.18
xG differential / game
0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.5
Corsi share (%)
48.3
Fenwick share (%)
47.6
Faceoff win %
50.3
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.4
Corsi share (%)
52.1
Fenwick share (%)
51.7
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
15Points16
0.625Points %0.615
33Goals for47
25Goals against43
8Goal differential4
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
5Games6
3Wins4
7Points8
7Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
7-2-1Record6-4-0
15Points12
32Goals for35
19Goals against38
13Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 1 wins
1 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 0 wins
Total goals4 – 3
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game4.0 / 3.0
Shots per game28.0 / 30.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 28, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 30 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.