Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 12, 2027

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 12, 2027.

February 12, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite Dallas Stars at 54.0%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

46.0%
Fair American +117
Fair decimal 2.17
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
112Points106
0.683Points %0.646
279Goals for290
226Goals against231
53Goal differential59
W5Current streakL1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
24Wins26
56Points53
30Goal differential22
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
7-2-1Record5-5-0
15Points10
34Goals for26
28Goals against30
6Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 7 wins
Total goals23 – 27
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.3 / 2.7
Shots per game26.2 / 30.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 18, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 1 26 - 20 View
Oct 30, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 2 21 - 33 View
Mar 20, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 38 - 24 View
Nov 23, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 2 28 - 29 View
Dec 4, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 - 4 25 - 23 View
Dec 2, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 8 33 - 34 View
Feb 11, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 1 31 - 29 View
Nov 15, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 5 32 - 38 View
Apr 12, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 1 25 - 29 View
Jan 15, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 3 20 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.