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Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 27, 2026.

January 27, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:37 together · 10 games

xG share66.8%
Corsi for / against
78 / 48
Fenwick for / against
53 / 38
Corsi share
61.9%
Fenwick share
58.2%
xG for / against
3.40 / 1.69
Defense pair

113:21 together · 8 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
90 / 82
Fenwick for / against
60 / 54
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
52.6%
xG for / against
3.95 / 3.97
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

114:44 together · 9 games

xG share44.2%
Corsi for / against
100 / 124
Fenwick for / against
74 / 88
Corsi share
44.6%
Fenwick share
45.7%
xG for / against
4.45 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 23

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
28.2

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Jan 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
23.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
2.87
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.79
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
-0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.2
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.0
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.5
Corsi share (%)
47.6
Fenwick share (%)
46.7
Faceoff win %
46.9
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.4% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
15Points11
0.625Points %0.458
33Goals for35
25Goals against37
8Goal differential-2
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
5Games6
3Wins3
7Points7
7Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
7-2-1Record4-5-1
15Points9
32Goals for30
19Goals against31
13Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 3 wins
Total goals23 – 17
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game2.3 / 1.7
Shots per game28.3 / 27.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 23, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 22 - 19 View
Oct 18, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 19 - 22 View
Mar 2, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 6 42 - 21 View
Jan 25, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 0 19 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 16 - 37 View
Apr 17, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 26 - 37 View
Dec 27, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 40 - 30 View
Dec 16, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 23 - 34 View
Oct 12, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 24 - 34 View
Apr 13, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 1 25 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.