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Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2027

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2027.

January 19, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 66.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

66.7%
Fair American -200
Fair decimal 1.5
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 19, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.09
ROI
3.1%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
0.55
ROI
6.1%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

52:30 together · 7 games

xG share74.6%
Corsi for / against
52 / 43
Fenwick for / against
36 / 23
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
61.0%
xG for / against
2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair

96:24 together · 10 games

xG share58.8%
Corsi for / against
99 / 73
Fenwick for / against
66 / 48
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
57.9%
xG for / against
3.83 / 2.68
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

74:30 together · 8 games

xG share72.8%
Corsi for / against
102 / 54
Fenwick for / against
67 / 37
Corsi share
65.4%
Fenwick share
64.4%
xG for / against
5.68 / 2.12
Defense pair

159:23 together · 10 games

xG share59.0%
Corsi for / against
196 / 128
Fenwick for / against
127 / 85
Corsi share
60.5%
Fenwick share
59.9%
xG for / against
7.59 / 5.27
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
103
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
34.0

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
89.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
26.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.33
xG against / game
2.56
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.50
xG against / game
2.42
xG differential / game
1.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.0
Corsi share (%)
53.6
Fenwick share (%)
54.7
Faceoff win %
55.7
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
68.8
Corsi share (%)
58.0
Fenwick share (%)
57.7
Faceoff win %
51.3
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 33.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
15Points14
0.682Points %0.636
32Goals for36
20Goals against32
12Goal differential4
W5Current streakW3
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
5Games8
3Wins6
7Points12
7Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
7-2-1Record6-4-0
15Points12
32Goals for33
16Goals against30
16Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 4 wins
Total goals35 – 27
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.5 / 2.7
Shots per game30.2 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 24, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
6 - 4 25 - 27 View
Dec 3, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 0 28 - 30 View
Mar 4, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 28 - 21 View
Feb 22, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 2 26 - 33 View
Mar 14, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
6 - 2 20 - 37 View
Jan 20, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
6 - 2 36 - 31 View
Jan 27, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 29 - 35 View
Dec 13, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 1 32 - 36 View
Apr 9, 2022
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 1 23 - 28 View
Jan 25, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 1 32 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.