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Dallas Stars vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Dallas Stars

7-4-1

1 Model pick
Final
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

2
Model V2 pick: Dallas Stars at 53.5% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Dallas Stars logo
Away team

Dallas Stars

53.5%
Fair American -115
Fair decimal 1.87
Best market -128 · FanDuel
Market implied 56.1%
Edge -2.6%
Expected value -4.7%
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

46.5%
Fair American +115
Fair decimal 2.15
Best market +115 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 46.5%
Edge -0.0%
Expected value -0.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 3, 2026.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

11:17 together · 1 game

xG share48.9%
Corsi for / against
11 / 4
Fenwick for / against
6 / 2
Corsi share
73.3%
Fenwick share
75.0%
xG for / against
0.23 / 0.24
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trioUnder 10 minutes

7:28 together · 1 game

xG share37.1%
Corsi for / against
4 / 10
Fenwick for / against
4 / 7
Corsi share
28.6%
Fenwick share
36.4%
xG for / against
0.29 / 0.48
Defense pair

12:10 together · 1 game

xG share29.8%
Corsi for / against
9 / 10
Fenwick for / against
8 / 7
Corsi share
47.4%
Fenwick share
53.3%
xG for / against
0.24 / 0.56
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 2

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
22
Save %
90.9
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
22.7

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
30
Save %
90.0
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
33.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.07
xG against / game
2.69
xG differential / game
0.39

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
1.69
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-1.60

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
54.1
Fenwick share (%)
58.9
Faceoff win %
62.1
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 0.0% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Nashville Predators

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
46.0
Corsi share (%)
42.6
Fenwick share (%)
41.7
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 5.0% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
15Points13
0.625Points %0.542
33Goals for34
25Goals against39
8Goal differential-5
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
5Games7
3Wins3
7Points8
7Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
7-2-1Record3-2-5
15Points11
32Goals for31
19Goals against35
13Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 4 wins
Total goals37 – 33
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.7 / 3.3
Shots per game28.0 / 28.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 28, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 27 - 25 View
Nov 8, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 4 22 - 21 View
Oct 26, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 28 - 25 View
Apr 16, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 5 30 - 34 View
Apr 3, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 5 29 - 27 View
Dec 12, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 1 26 - 36 View
Oct 10, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 3 20 - 36 View
Feb 15, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
9 - 2 41 - 29 View
Jan 12, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
6 - 3 38 - 22 View
Jan 6, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 3 22 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL NSH