Away team
Dallas Stars
49.0%
Fair American
+104
Fair decimal
2.04
Dallas Stars vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 5, 2026.
November 5, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Columbus Blue Jackets at 51.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Columbus Blue Jackets
51.0%
Fair American
-104
Fair decimal
1.96
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 5, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.45
- ROI
- -4.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.22
- ROI
- -40.8%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.03
- ROI
- 0.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.48
- ROI
- 9.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
46:49 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 39
- Fenwick for / against
- 29 / 21
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 0.89
Defense pair
84:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 83 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 38
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.20 / 2.10
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
87:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 51
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 2.69
Defense pair
124:28 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 113 / 121
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 93
- Corsi share
- 48.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.73 / 7.20
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 27
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 80
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 35.0
Cam Talbot
Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 40.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.64
- xG differential / game
- 0.66
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Columbus Blue Jackets
- xG for / game
- 2.79
- xG against / game
- 3.46
- xG differential / game
- -0.67
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.1
- Faceoff win %
- 56.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 54.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
CBJ
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 33 | Goals for | 26 |
| 25 | Goals against | 33 |
| 8 | Goal differential | -7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
CBJ home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
CBJ
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 32 | Goals for | 26 |
| 19 | Goals against | 33 |
| 13 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
CBJ
5 wins
Total goals27 – 31
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.7 / 3.1
Shots per game30.8 / 27.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
0 - 1 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 1 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
4 - 6 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 39 | View |
| Nov 9, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 5 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 36 - 29 | View |
| Dec 19, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Dec 2, 2021 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Oct 25, 2021 |
Dallas Stars
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 26 | View |