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Dallas Stars vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 22, 2026.

January 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

80:25 together · 10 games

xG share61.0%
Corsi for / against
85 / 60
Fenwick for / against
60 / 48
Corsi share
58.6%
Fenwick share
55.6%
xG for / against
3.99 / 2.55
Defense pair

112:43 together · 8 games

xG share51.3%
Corsi for / against
86 / 79
Fenwick for / against
54 / 48
Corsi share
52.1%
Fenwick share
52.9%
xG for / against
4.15 / 3.94
All observed combinations

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:15 together · 8 games

xG share57.3%
Corsi for / against
110 / 88
Fenwick for / against
73 / 57
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
56.2%
xG for / against
5.29 / 3.95
Defense pair

112:20 together · 9 games

xG share57.8%
Corsi for / against
132 / 103
Fenwick for / against
84 / 70
Corsi share
56.2%
Fenwick share
54.5%
xG for / against
5.18 / 3.78
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
88.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
28.2

Elvis Merzlikins

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
89.2
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.11
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
0.02

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
3.65
xG differential / game
-0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.5
Corsi share (%)
48.0
Fenwick share (%)
47.2
Faceoff win %
51.2
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.2
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.9
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
15Points8
0.682Points %0.444
32Goals for22
20Goals against30
12Goal differential-8
W5Current streakW1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ home
5Games7
3Wins4
7Points8
7Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
7-2-1Record4-5-0
15Points8
32Goals for22
16Goals against30
16Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 4 wins
Total goals32 – 31
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.2 / 3.1
Shots per game31.2 / 27.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 21, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 1 29 - 23 View
Feb 25, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 6 22 - 29 View
Feb 2, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 5 30 - 39 View
Nov 9, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
5 - 2 31 - 29 View
Oct 30, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 5 25 - 33 View
Feb 18, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 1 36 - 29 View
Dec 19, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 1 34 - 28 View
Dec 2, 2021
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 22 - 37 View
Oct 25, 2021
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
1 - 4 32 - 26 View
Apr 17, 2021
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 5 22 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.