Away team
Dallas Stars
55.8%
Fair American
-126
Fair decimal
1.79
Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2026.
March 3, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Dallas Stars
at 55.8%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
44.2%
Fair American
+126
Fair decimal
2.26
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 112 | Points | 77 |
| 0.683 | Points % | 0.470 |
| 279 | Goals for | 212 |
| 226 | Goals against | 259 |
| 53 | Goal differential | -47 |
| W5 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 56 | Points | 51 |
| 30 | Goal differential | 13 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 34 | Goals for | 30 |
| 28 | Goals against | 37 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
5 wins
Total goals42 – 39
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game4.2 / 3.9
Shots per game27.0 / 36.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 33 | View |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 48 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Dec 8, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 6 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 16 - 36 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Dallas Stars
|
7 - 4 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Nov 1, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 47 | View |
| Mar 18, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Calgary Flames
|
6 - 5 | 26 - 38 | View |
| Mar 6, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 4 | 37 - 33 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 5 | 36 - 33 | View |