Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames matchup on March 3, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Dallas Stars a 55.8% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Dallas Stars (55.8%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 3, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Dallas Stars logo
Dallas Stars
55.8%
Fair American: -126
Fair Decimal: 1.79
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Calgary Flames logo
Calgary Flames
44.2%
Fair American: +126
Fair Decimal: 2.26
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
112 Points 77
0.683 Points % 0.470
279 Goals For 212
226 Goals Against 259
53 Goal Differential -47
W5 Current Streak W1
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Dallas Stars DAL (Road)
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY (Home)
41 Games 41
24 Wins 23
56 Points 51
30 Goal Differential 13
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
7-2-1 Record 4-5-1
15 Points 9
34 Goals For 30
28 Goals Against 37
6 Goal Differential -7
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Dallas Stars DAL
H2H Summary
Calgary Flames CGY
5-5 Record 5-5
42 Total Goals 39
+3 Goal Differential -3
4.2 Goals / Game 3.9
27.0 Shots / Game 36.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 22, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames
2 - 3 30 - 33 View
Mar 27, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames
5 - 2 19 - 48 View
Mar 6, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 28 - 27 View
Dec 8, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars
2 - 6 31 - 28 View
Nov 30, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames
3 - 4 16 - 36 View
Nov 24, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars
7 - 4 27 - 28 View
Nov 1, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames
4 - 3 30 - 47 View
Mar 18, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames
6 - 5 26 - 38 View
Mar 6, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars
5 - 4 37 - 33 View
Jan 14, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars
6 - 5 36 - 33 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.