Away team
Columbus Blue Jackets
35.5%
Fair American
+182
Fair decimal
2.82
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 26, 2026.
December 26, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Washington Capitals at 64.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Washington Capitals
64.5%
Fair American
-182
Fair decimal
1.55
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 26, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.22
- ROI
- -40.8%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.03
- ROI
- 0.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.36
- ROI
- -8.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Columbus Blue Jackets
9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
85:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 77 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 51
- Corsi share
- 52.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.50 / 2.69
Defense pair
106:55 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 107
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 85
- Corsi share
- 48.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.91 / 6.53
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected starter unavailable.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Cam Talbot
Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 110
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 39.1
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 3.40
- xG differential / game
- -0.55
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.4
- Faceoff win %
- 54.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.89
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 0.444 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 22 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CBJ road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 7 |
| 0 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Points | 10 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 22 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CBJ
2 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
8 wins
Total goals22 – 31
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.2 / 3.1
Shots per game31.5 / 29.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 1 | 21 - 28 | View |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 2 | 39 - 38 | View |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
5 - 1 | 30 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
0 - 7 | 22 - 26 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 1 | 37 - 33 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 7 | 36 - 22 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 36 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 36 - 26 | View |