Away team
Columbus Blue Jackets
38.5%
Fair American
+160
Fair decimal
2.6
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2027
NHL matchup
Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2027.
March 22, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Pittsburgh Penguins at 61.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
61.5%
Fair American
-160
Fair decimal
1.63
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 22, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.22
- ROI
- -40.8%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.03
- ROI
- 0.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.48
- ROI
- 9.6%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
87:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 51
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 2.69
Defense pair
124:28 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 113 / 121
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 93
- Corsi share
- 48.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.73 / 7.20
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected starter unavailable.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Cam Talbot
Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 40.3
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
- xG for / game
- 2.79
- xG against / game
- 3.46
- xG differential / game
- -0.67
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 54.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 11 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 26 | Goals for | 40 |
| 33 | Goals against | 40 |
| -7 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CBJ road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 26 | Goals for | 27 |
| 33 | Goals against | 35 |
| -7 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CBJ
6 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
4 wins
Total goals38 – 35
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game3.8 / 3.5
Shots per game33.6 / 30.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 45 | View |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 32 | View |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
5 - 4 | 43 - 25 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 4 | 41 - 31 | View |
| Mar 21, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 6 | 47 - 34 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 3 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Nov 15, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 6 | 23 - 39 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 37 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 36 | View |