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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 17, 2026.

January 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:00 together · 6 games

xG share63.6%
Corsi for / against
91 / 64
Fenwick for / against
62 / 40
Corsi share
58.7%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
4.65 / 2.67
Defense pair

103:55 together · 9 games

xG share59.4%
Corsi for / against
124 / 90
Fenwick for / against
80 / 66
Corsi share
57.9%
Fenwick share
54.8%
xG for / against
5.14 / 3.51
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

103:48 together · 8 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
113 / 103
Fenwick for / against
87 / 68
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
56.1%
xG for / against
5.45 / 4.49
Defense pair

163:25 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
157 / 159
Fenwick for / against
113 / 105
Corsi share
49.7%
Fenwick share
51.8%
xG for / against
7.23 / 6.82
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Elvis Merzlikins

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Jan 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
85.9
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
28.1

Stuart Skinner

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
122
Save %
94.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
32.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
3.60
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
0.55

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
66.7
Corsi share (%)
50.4
Fenwick share (%)
51.3
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.9
Corsi share (%)
50.8
Fenwick share (%)
52.1
Faceoff win %
51.9
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 29.8 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
8Points11
0.444Points %0.458
22Goals for40
30Goals against40
-8Goal differential0
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
2Games5
0Wins4
0Points8
-3Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
4-5-0Record3-6-1
8Points7
22Goals for27
30Goals against35
-8Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 6 wins
Total goals37 – 40
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game3.7 / 4.0
Shots per game33.1 / 31.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
5 - 4 43 - 25 View
Nov 28, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 3 24 - 29 View
Oct 25, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4 41 - 31 View
Mar 21, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 6 47 - 34 View
Jan 7, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 29 - 23 View
Nov 15, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 6 23 - 39 View
Mar 30, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 4 33 - 37 View
Mar 28, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 19 - 36 View
Mar 5, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 5 35 - 31 View
Nov 14, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
5 - 3 41 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.