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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 27, 2026.

October 27, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

4-5-0

44.4%
at
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-3

55.6% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Philadelphia Flyers at 55.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Columbus Blue Jackets logo
Away team

Columbus Blue Jackets

44.4%
Fair American +125
Fair decimal 2.25
Best market -115 · FanDuel
Market implied 53.5%
Edge -9.1%
Expected value -17.0%
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

55.6%
Fair American -125
Fair decimal 1.8
Best market -104 · FanDuel
Market implied 51.0%
Edge +4.6%
Expected value +9.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 27, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Columbus Blue Jackets

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

85:28 together · 9 games

xG share48.2%
Corsi for / against
77 / 70
Fenwick for / against
47 / 51
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
48.0%
xG for / against
2.50 / 2.69
Defense pair

106:55 together · 7 games

xG share42.9%
Corsi for / against
102 / 107
Fenwick for / against
75 / 85
Corsi share
48.8%
Fenwick share
46.9%
xG for / against
4.91 / 6.53
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:44 together · 7 games

xG share61.4%
Corsi for / against
40 / 38
Fenwick for / against
22 / 25
Corsi share
51.3%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
2.09 / 1.31
Defense pair

106:21 together · 7 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
96 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 59
Corsi share
51.1%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
4.34 / 3.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Cam Talbot 68.1%
Other eligible goalies

Why Cam Talbot?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.679
Prev save pct
+0.499
Won previous appearance
+0.403
Started last game
-0.222
Team win pct before
+0.176
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Philadelphia Flyers

Dan Vladar 67.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Dan Vladar?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
+0.679
Prev save pct
+0.442
Won previous appearance
+0.305
Started last game
+0.297
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
+0.176
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Cam Talbot

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
39.1

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.40
xG differential / game
-0.55

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.65
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.79

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
54.7
Penalties / game
3.89

Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.2
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
44.6
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
8Points9
0.444Points %0.346
22Goals for24
30Goals against42
-8Goal differential-18
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
2Games7
0Wins2
0Points6
-3Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
4-5-0Record3-6-1
8Points7
22Goals for20
30Goals against29
-8Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 3 wins
Total goals34 – 27
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game3.4 / 2.7
Shots per game26.6 / 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 24, 2026
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2 19 - 26 View
Mar 14, 2026
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 1 28 - 19 View
Jan 28, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 5 27 - 31 View
Apr 15, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 34 - 29 View
Jan 14, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 3 25 - 28 View
Dec 21, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 5 25 - 30 View
Dec 10, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
5 - 3 25 - 18 View
Apr 6, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 6 39 - 33 View
Jan 4, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2 28 - 41 View
Nov 19, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 22 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CBJ PHI