Away team
Columbus Blue Jackets
38.9%
Fair American
+157
Fair decimal
2.57
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2027
NHL matchup
Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2027.
January 23, 2027
· 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Ottawa Senators at 61.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
61.1%
Fair American
-157
Fair decimal
1.64
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 23, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.22
- ROI
- -40.8%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.03
- ROI
- 0.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.36
- ROI
- -8.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Columbus Blue Jackets
9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
85:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 77 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 51
- Corsi share
- 52.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.50 / 2.69
Defense pair
106:55 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 107
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 85
- Corsi share
- 48.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.91 / 6.53
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
39:23 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 35 / 53
- Fenwick for / against
- 25 / 39
- Corsi share
- 39.8%
- Fenwick share
- 39.1%
- xG for / against
- 1.87 / 2.05
Defense pair
71:06 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 68
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 39
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.13 / 2.20
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected starter unavailable.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Cam Talbot
Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 110
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 39.1
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 24
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 29
- Save %
- 86.2
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 37.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 3.40
- xG differential / game
- -0.55
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.78
- xG differential / game
- 0.07
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.4
- Faceoff win %
- 54.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.89
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.9
Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 16 |
| 0.444 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 22 | Goals for | 38 |
| 30 | Goals against | 34 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CBJ road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 7 |
| 0 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Points | 10 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 22 | Goals for | 31 |
| 30 | Goals against | 31 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CBJ
4 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
6 wins
Total goals28 – 34
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game2.8 / 3.4
Shots per game28.6 / 30.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 22 - 28 | View |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
6 - 3 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 5 | 35 - 35 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 4 | 29 - 30 | View |
| Mar 29, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 27 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
3 - 2 | 37 - 37 | View |
| Feb 13, 2024 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 6 | 40 - 30 | View |
| Dec 1, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 4 | 43 - 23 | View |
| Apr 2, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 22 | View |