Skip to content

Columbus Blue Jackets vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2026.

March 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

95:39 together · 10 games

xG share68.4%
Corsi for / against
118 / 74
Fenwick for / against
90 / 51
Corsi share
61.5%
Fenwick share
63.8%
xG for / against
6.75 / 3.12
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

70:19 together · 9 games

xG share58.0%
Corsi for / against
92 / 63
Fenwick for / against
67 / 50
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.3%
xG for / against
4.60 / 3.33
Defense pair

129:58 together · 10 games

xG share43.6%
Corsi for / against
123 / 121
Fenwick for / against
85 / 90
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
48.6%
xG for / against
5.09 / 6.59
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Elvis Merzlikins

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Mar 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
83
Save %
86.7
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
37.3

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
88.2
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
40.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.59

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
3.20
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.17

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.2
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
52.7
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.3
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 8.9% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
10Points14
0.500Points %0.583
26Goals for36
33Goals against32
-7Goal differential4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
3Games6
1Wins4
2Points9
-2Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
5-5-0Record5-3-2
10Points12
26Goals for29
33Goals against30
-7Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 4 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 6 wins
Total goals27 – 29
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game2.7 / 2.9
Shots per game29.1 / 32.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 28, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 3 26 - 30 View
Dec 28, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 4 26 - 35 View
Nov 2, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 22 - 39 View
Apr 17, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
1 - 6 37 - 26 View
Mar 24, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 30 - 33 View
Jan 20, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 26 - 25 View
Oct 30, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
0 - 2 26 - 26 View
Apr 4, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 2 41 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 7 35 - 36 View
Oct 28, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 0 34 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.