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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 29, 2026.

December 29, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

4-5-0

34.6%
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

6-3-2

65.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Montréal Canadiens at 65.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Columbus Blue Jackets logo
Away team

Columbus Blue Jackets

34.6%
Fair American +189
Fair decimal 2.89
Calculate value
Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

65.4%
Fair American -189
Fair decimal 1.53
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 29, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Columbus Blue Jackets

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

85:28 together · 9 games

xG share48.2%
Corsi for / against
77 / 70
Fenwick for / against
47 / 51
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
48.0%
xG for / against
2.50 / 2.69
Defense pair

106:55 together · 7 games

xG share42.9%
Corsi for / against
102 / 107
Fenwick for / against
75 / 85
Corsi share
48.8%
Fenwick share
46.9%
xG for / against
4.91 / 6.53
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

108:21 together · 10 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
165 / 82
Fenwick for / against
127 / 61
Corsi share
66.8%
Fenwick share
67.6%
xG for / against
7.88 / 4.78
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Cam Talbot

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
39.1

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
93.7
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
2.85
xG against / game
3.40
xG differential / game
-0.55

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.47
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Columbus Blue Jackets

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.4
Faceoff win %
54.7
Penalties / game
3.89

Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.6
Corsi share (%)
54.2
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
52.8
Penalties / game
5.5

Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
8Points14
0.444Points %0.636
22Goals for36
30Goals against36
-8Goal differential0
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
2Games6
0Wins3
0Points7
-3Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
4-5-0Record5-3-2
8Points12
22Goals for33
30Goals against34
-8Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 7 wins
Total goals26 – 39
Goal differential -13 / +13
Goals per game2.6 / 3.9
Shots per game29.2 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 11, 2026
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 33 - 22 View
Mar 26, 2026
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 2 26 - 20 View
Nov 17, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 4 32 - 23 View
Dec 23, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 5 31 - 32 View
Nov 27, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 3 23 - 24 View
Nov 16, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 5 26 - 30 View
Mar 12, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
0 - 3 41 - 23 View
Nov 29, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 2 31 - 28 View
Oct 26, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 36 - 29 View
Mar 25, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 8 23 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CBJ MTL