Away team
Colorado Avalanche
39.7%
Fair American
+152
Fair decimal
2.52
Colorado Avalanche vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 31, 2026.
December 31, 2026
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Utah Mammoth at 60.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Utah Mammoth
60.3%
Fair American
-152
Fair decimal
1.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 31, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 7-5
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 2.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 18.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- 0.21
- ROI
- 2.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
76:48 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 106 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 44
- Corsi share
- 62.4%
- Fenwick share
- 64.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.35 / 2.23
Defense pair
116:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 137 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 97 / 73
- Corsi share
- 56.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 7.21 / 4.35
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Utah Mammoth
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 85.9
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 28.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 3.66
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.94
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
UTA
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 49 | Goals for | 47 |
| 40 | Goals against | 43 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
UTA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
UTA
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 35 | Goals for | 35 |
| 35 | Goals against | 38 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
3 wins
4
games reviewed
UTA
1 wins
Total goals10 – 7
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game2.5 / 1.75
Shots per game27.8 / 32.0
Utah Mammoth
