Forward trio
45:36 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 50 / 30
- Fenwick for / against
- 35 / 19
- Corsi share
- 62.5%
- Fenwick share
- 64.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.16 / 1.68
Colorado Avalanche vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 25, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 25, 2026.
February 25, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
101:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 122 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 87 / 58
- Corsi share
- 62.6%
- Fenwick share
- 60.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.43 / 3.40
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
93:33 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 97 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 68
- Corsi share
- 53.3%
- Fenwick share
- 50.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 5.45
Defense pair
136:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 116
- Fenwick for / against
- 97 / 90
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.9%
- xG for / against
- 6.02 / 6.13
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Mackenzie Blackwood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Feb 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 94.7
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 35.9
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Feb 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 148
- Save %
- 91.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.59
- xG against / game
- 2.69
- xG differential / game
- 0.91
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 2.96
- xG against / game
- 3.34
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 69.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 57.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.0
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 33.1 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.0
- Faceoff win %
- 52.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.9
Shots / game: 24.7 · Shooting: 15.4% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
UTA
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 49 | Goals for | 46 |
| 40 | Goals against | 40 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
UTA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
UTA
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 35 | Goals for | 36 |
| 35 | Goals against | 39 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
2 wins
3
games reviewed
UTA
1 wins
Total goals6 – 5
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.0 / 1.67
Shots per game28.7 / 32.7
Utah Mammoth