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Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for September 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for September 29, 2026.

September 29, 2026 · 9:30 PM CST
Away

Chicago Blackhawks

4-8-0

2
Final
Home

Vegas Golden Knights

9-4-1

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 58.8% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

41.2%
Fair American +143
Fair decimal 2.43
Best market +221 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 31.2%
Edge +10.0%
Expected value +32.3%
Calculate value
Vegas Golden Knights logo
Home team

Vegas Golden Knights

58.8%
Fair American -143
Fair decimal 1.7
Best market -255 · BetUS
Market implied 71.8%
Edge -13.0%
Expected value -18.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Sep 29, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Sep 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

No completed regular-season games in this window.

All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

No completed regular-season games in this window.

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Sep 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG unavailable.

0 / 0 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG unavailable.

0 / 0 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Sep 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
8Points19
0.333Points %0.679
26Goals for51
44Goals against39
-18Goal differential12
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
4Games8
0Wins6
0Points12
-13Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
4-6-0Record6-3-1
8Points13
24Goals for34
33Goals against29
-9Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
Total goals30 – 38
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game3.0 / 3.8
Shots per game24.7 / 28.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 14, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 4 21 - 32 View
Jan 4, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 15 - 20 View
Dec 2, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 30 - 28 View
Mar 28, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 22 - 21 View
Feb 27, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 7 22 - 33 View
Jan 18, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 5 35 - 23 View
Apr 16, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 23 - 37 View
Oct 27, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 24 - 21 View
Oct 21, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 24 - 24 View
Feb 21, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 36 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CHI VGK