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Chicago Blackhawks vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.

March 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

75:57 together · 7 games

xG share51.0%
Corsi for / against
59 / 71
Fenwick for / against
45 / 58
Corsi share
45.4%
Fenwick share
43.7%
xG for / against
3.42 / 3.28
Defense pair

130:03 together · 10 games

xG share46.0%
Corsi for / against
93 / 135
Fenwick for / against
72 / 100
Corsi share
40.8%
Fenwick share
41.9%
xG for / against
5.14 / 6.04
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

142:29 together · 10 games

xG share50.0%
Corsi for / against
114 / 132
Fenwick for / against
81 / 85
Corsi share
46.3%
Fenwick share
48.8%
xG for / against
5.48 / 5.47
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Drew Commesso

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Mar 9

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
85
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
29.4

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
137
Save %
87.6
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
34.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
2.69
xG differential / game
-0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
2.69
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
-0.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
46.4
Corsi share (%)
46.2
Fenwick share (%)
46.9
Faceoff win %
43.0
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 21.5 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.0
Corsi share (%)
50.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
52.3
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 34.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
6Points16
0.273Points %0.667
24Goals for46
43Goals against40
-19Goal differential6
L3Current streakW1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
4Games5
0Wins4
0Points8
-13Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
3-7-0Record6-4-0
6Points12
22Goals for36
38Goals against39
-16Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
3 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 0 wins
Total goals10 – 3
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game3.33 / 1.0
Shots per game22.7 / 22.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 9, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 24 - 26 View
Mar 1, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
4 - 0 28 - 22 View
Oct 13, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 22 - 14 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.