Away team
Chicago Blackhawks
25.7%
Fair American
+289
Fair decimal
3.89
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 5, 2026.
November 5, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 74.3%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
74.3%
Fair American
-289
Fair decimal
1.35
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CHI
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Points | 106 |
| 0.439 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 213 | Goals for | 290 |
| 275 | Goals against | 231 |
| -62 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CHI road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 15 | Wins | 26 |
| 36 | Points | 53 |
| -34 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
CHI
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| 25 | Goals for | 26 |
| 42 | Goals against | 30 |
| -17 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CHI
3 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
7 wins
Total goals25 – 34
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.5 / 3.4
Shots per game22.0 / 34.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 18 | View |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 3 | 40 - 14 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 14 | View |
| Nov 9, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 3 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Mar 11, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Jan 3, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Apr 1, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 43 | View |
| Mar 6, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
6 - 3 | 32 - 27 | View |