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Chicago Blackhawks vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 10, 2027

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 10, 2027.

January 10, 2027 · 7:30 PM MBT
Away

Chicago Blackhawks

4-13-1

36.4%
at
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

63.6% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Philadelphia Flyers at 63.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

36.4%
Fair American +175
Fair decimal 2.75
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

63.6%
Fair American -175
Fair decimal 1.57
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 10, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%
Corsi for / against
86 / 116
Fenwick for / against
61 / 93
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
3.37 / 7.95
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 10, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.73
xG differential / game
-1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
40.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 10, 2027.

Chicago Blackhawks

P. Kane Hot · +1.22 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 2.00 points/game
0.78 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
7
Points
10
Shots / game
2.2
B. Byram Cold · -0.29 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.20 points/game
0.49 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
0.8
I. Cole Cold · -0.22 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.22 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
R. Donato Hot · +0.22 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.75 points/game
0.53 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
0
Points
3
Shots / game
3.0
W. Kaiser Cold · -0.21 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.21 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.3

Philadelphia Flyers

S. Couturier Hot · +1.03 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.50 points/game
0.47 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
3.0
N. Cates Hot · +0.77 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.25 points/game
0.48 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
2.5
N. Acciari Hot · +0.77 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.00 points/game
0.23 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.5
J. Drysdale Hot · +0.65 P/GP

3 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.00 points/game
0.35 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.7
T. Konecny Hot · +0.63 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.50 points/game
0.87 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
1.3
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
9Points15
0.250Points %0.375
39Goals for45
76Goals against66
-37Goal differential-21
L4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
9Games10
0Wins3
1Points9
-29Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
1-8-1Record4-4-2
3Points10
18Goals for31
44Goals against32
-26Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 6 wins
Total goals31 – 30
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.1 / 3.0
Shots per game27.2 / 33.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 26, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 5 26 - 42 View
Dec 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 26 - 21 View
Mar 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 7 29 - 29 View
Nov 23, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 21 - 37 View
Mar 30, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1 24 - 31 View
Feb 21, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 33 - 22 View
Apr 13, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 4 36 - 38 View
Jan 19, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 29 - 38 View
Apr 25, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 34 - 33 View
Mar 5, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 29 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CHI PHI