Away team
Chicago Blackhawks
32.4%
Fair American
+209
Fair decimal
3.09
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2027
NHL matchup
Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 5, 2027.
March 5, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 67.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
67.6%
Fair American
-209
Fair decimal
1.48
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 5, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 40
- Corsi share
- 41.7%
- Fenwick share
- 44.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair
121:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 85
- Corsi share
- 37.9%
- Fenwick share
- 39.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.65 / 5.24
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 42.5
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 3.39
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 44.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CHI
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 0.333 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 26 | Goals for | 28 |
| 44 | Goals against | 41 |
| -18 | Goal differential | -13 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
CHI road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 0 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Points | 8 |
| -13 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
CHI
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 24 | Goals for | 27 |
| 33 | Goals against | 35 |
| -9 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CHI
5 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
5 wins
Total goals28 – 27
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.8 / 2.7
Shots per game26.0 / 30.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 1 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 5 | 21 - 23 | View |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 0 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Jan 13, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 25 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 6 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 3 | 39 - 27 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 1 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Jan 7, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Apr 4, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 23 - 36 | View |