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Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 21, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 21, 2026.

December 21, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

51.1% Model pick
at
Home

Vegas Golden Knights

9-4-1

48.9%
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 51.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

51.1%
Fair American -104
Fair decimal 1.96
Calculate value
Vegas Golden Knights logo
Home team

Vegas Golden Knights

48.9%
Fair American +104
Fair decimal 2.04
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 21, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

164:37 together · 10 games

xG share57.3%
Corsi for / against
176 / 119
Fenwick for / against
130 / 81
Corsi share
59.7%
Fenwick share
61.6%
xG for / against
8.35 / 6.22
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

110:03 together · 10 games

xG share62.1%
Corsi for / against
111 / 86
Fenwick for / against
82 / 60
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair

156:41 together · 10 games

xG share64.1%
Corsi for / against
176 / 133
Fenwick for / against
135 / 94
Corsi share
57.0%
Fenwick share
59.0%
xG for / against
8.98 / 5.04
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
41.2

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
38.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.38
xG differential / game
1.57

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
0.46

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
59.1
Fenwick share (%)
60.8
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.9
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.5
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
22Points19
0.786Points %0.679
53Goals for51
34Goals against39
19Goal differential12
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
9Games8
7Wins6
15Points12
15Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
8-1-1Record6-3-1
17Points13
42Goals for34
22Goals against29
20Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 4 wins
Total goals31 – 30
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.1 / 3.0
Shots per game31.1 / 28.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 28, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
6 - 3 35 - 24 View
Oct 20, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 4 27 - 26 View
Jan 17, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 31 - 28 View
Nov 11, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 2 34 - 32 View
Feb 17, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 1 28 - 30 View
Dec 19, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 6 33 - 39 View
Mar 11, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 0 24 - 33 View
Mar 1, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 26 - 20 View
Jan 25, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 4 29 - 30 View
Nov 16, 2021
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 2 42 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR VGK