Away team
Carolina Hurricanes
46.6%
Fair American
+115
Fair decimal
2.15
Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 25, 2026
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 25, 2026.
November 25, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 53.4%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.4%
Fair American
-115
Fair decimal
1.87
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 113 | Points | 106 |
| 0.689 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 296 | Goals for | 290 |
| 240 | Goals against | 231 |
| 56 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 53 |
| 21 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 39 | Goals for | 26 |
| 27 | Goals against | 30 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals26 – 35
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.6 / 3.5
Shots per game29.2 / 23.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 6 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Oct 11, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
8 - 2 | 14 - 24 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 22 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Mar 28, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 31 | View |