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Carolina Hurricanes vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2026.

March 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

111:06 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
122 / 89
Fenwick for / against
90 / 70
Corsi share
57.8%
Fenwick share
56.3%
xG for / against
5.72 / 5.40
Defense pair

165:12 together · 10 games

xG share51.0%
Corsi for / against
166 / 128
Fenwick for / against
105 / 90
Corsi share
56.5%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.36 / 6.11
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

139:32 together · 10 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
150 / 125
Fenwick for / against
114 / 94
Corsi share
54.5%
Fenwick share
54.8%
xG for / against
8.35 / 6.72
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Brandon Bussi

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.1

Connor Ingram

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Mar 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
85.8
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
34.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.18
xG against / game
2.84
xG differential / game
0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
4.08
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
0.95

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
66.0
Corsi share (%)
57.5
Fenwick share (%)
55.5
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.9
Corsi share (%)
54.1
Fenwick share (%)
53.9
Faceoff win %
55.8
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 34.6 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 29.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
22Points18
0.786Points %0.750
53Goals for52
34Goals against43
19Goal differential9
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
9Games7
7Wins3
15Points8
15Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
8-1-1Record7-2-1
17Points15
42Goals for38
22Goals against30
20Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 5 wins
Total goals33 – 32
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.3 / 3.2
Shots per game33.4 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 15, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 3 23 - 36 View
Mar 1, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 1 31 - 36 View
Oct 22, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 2 33 - 35 View
Dec 6, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 6 39 - 34 View
Nov 22, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 6 23 - 27 View
Nov 10, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 7 22 - 32 View
Oct 20, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 6 40 - 33 View
Feb 27, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 2 30 - 29 View
Dec 11, 2021
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 1 31 - 23 View
Feb 16, 2020
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 3 24 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.