Away team
Calgary Flames
49.9%
Fair American
+100
Fair decimal
2.0
Calgary Flames vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2027
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2027.
March 7, 2027
· 1:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Winnipeg Jets at 50.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Winnipeg Jets
50.1%
Fair American
-100
Fair decimal
2.0
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 7, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -3.07
- ROI
- -61.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -1.82
- ROI
- -26.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 158 / 124
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 97
- Corsi share
- 56.0%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.87 / 6.99
Defense pair
118:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 71
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.38 / 4.83
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Clay Stevenson
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 108
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.31
- xG differential / game
- -0.45
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 11 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 28 | Goals for | 28 |
| 41 | Goals against | 36 |
| -13 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W4 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
WPG home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Points | 5 |
| -10 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 27 | Goals for | 22 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
4 wins
10
games reviewed
WPG
6 wins
Total goals31 – 34
Goal differential
-3
/
+3
Goals per game3.1 / 3.4
Shots per game29.7 / 33.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 5 | 33 - 32 | View |
| Oct 20, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 1 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Jan 26, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 5 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 1 | 22 - 39 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 3 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 45 | View |
| Feb 19, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Oct 11, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 5 | 37 - 22 | View |
| Apr 5, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 1 | 35 - 35 | View |