Skip to content

Calgary Flames vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 2, 2027

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 2, 2027.

January 2, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Winnipeg Jets at 53.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Calgary Flames logo
Away team

Calgary Flames

47.0%
Fair American +113
Fair decimal 2.13
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 2, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-0.25
ROI
-8.3%

Value Picks

Bets
12
Record
5-7
Net units
0.73
ROI
6.1%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
1-4
Net units
-3.07
ROI
-61.5%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
2-5
Net units
-1.82
ROI
-26.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.

All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

137:51 together · 10 games

xG share53.0%
Corsi for / against
159 / 124
Fenwick for / against
120 / 97
Corsi share
56.2%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
7.87 / 6.99
Defense pair

118:31 together · 10 games

xG share52.7%
Corsi for / against
120 / 97
Fenwick for / against
88 / 71
Corsi share
55.3%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
5.38 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
95.1
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
28.2

Clay Stevenson

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
108
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
38.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 2, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.71
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
-0.50

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.31
xG differential / game
-0.45

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 2, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.7
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.0
Faceoff win %
48.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.5
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
45.5
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
10Points11
0.417Points %0.458
28Goals for28
45Goals against36
-17Goal differential-8
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
5Games7
1Wins2
2Points5
-14Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
5-5-0Record3-5-2
10Points8
26Goals for22
35Goals against30
-9Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 6 wins
Total goals31 – 34
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game3.1 / 3.4
Shots per game29.7 / 33.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 15, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 23 - 34 View
Oct 24, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 5 33 - 32 View
Oct 20, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 1 27 - 33 View
Jan 26, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 5 22 - 27 View
Jan 18, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 1 22 - 39 View
Oct 26, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 3 35 - 29 View
Apr 4, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 5 33 - 45 View
Feb 19, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 6 31 - 34 View
Oct 11, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 5 37 - 22 View
Apr 5, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 1 35 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.