Forward trio
75:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 85 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 54
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 50.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.18 / 3.80
Calgary Flames vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 9, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 9, 2026.
March 9, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
99:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 64
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 49.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.48 / 3.51
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:55 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 64 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 46 / 37
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 55.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.27 / 2.57
Defense pair
77:37 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 56
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.80 / 4.65
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dustin Wolf
Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 7
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 23.9
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 7
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 92.4
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 42.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.95
- xG against / game
- 3.23
- xG differential / game
- -0.28
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.20
- xG against / game
- 3.24
- xG differential / game
- -0.04
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.2
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 8.1% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 28 | Goals for | 34 |
| 41 | Goals against | 32 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W4 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Points | 10 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 27 | Goals for | 34 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
3 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
7 wins
Total goals24 – 32
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.4 / 3.2
Shots per game31.7 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 38 - 26 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Mar 18, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 2 | 33 - 36 | View |
| Oct 16, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Dec 3, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 5 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Nov 25, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 25 | View |
| Mar 8, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 4 | 27 - 35 | View |
| Oct 23, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 25 | View |
| Nov 3, 2019 |
Calgary Flames
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 27 - 32 | View |