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Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 27, 2027

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 27, 2027.

February 27, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Calgary Flames at 53.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Calgary Flames logo
Away team

Calgary Flames

53.5%
Fair American -115
Fair decimal 1.87
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

46.5%
Fair American +115
Fair decimal 2.15
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 27, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-0.25
ROI
-8.3%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
4-6
Net units
0.40
ROI
4.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:06 together · 7 games

xG share54.9%
Corsi for / against
58 / 49
Fenwick for / against
42 / 35
Corsi share
54.2%
Fenwick share
54.5%
xG for / against
2.28 / 1.88
Defense pair

112:12 together · 10 games

xG share54.1%
Corsi for / against
125 / 98
Fenwick for / against
91 / 73
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
55.5%
xG for / against
5.70 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
159
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
26.4

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.61
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.2
Corsi share (%)
49.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
8Points5
0.400Points %0.192
23Goals for37
39Goals against60
-16Goal differential-23
W3Current streakL4
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
4Games6
1Wins1
2Points2
-10Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
4-6-0Record0-9-1
8Points1
23Goals for20
39Goals against45
-16Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 6 wins
Total goals30 – 35
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game3.0 / 3.5
Shots per game25.7 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 3, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 24 - 26 View
Mar 28, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 7 34 - 23 View
Nov 23, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 21 - 31 View
Oct 9, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 5 18 - 26 View
Mar 12, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 31 - 23 View
Dec 31, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 24 - 29 View
Nov 12, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 3 29 - 32 View
Oct 9, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 5 26 - 24 View
Apr 16, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 40 - 31 View
Mar 23, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 4 24 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.