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Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Calgary Flames

4-6-0

1 Model pick
Final
Home

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

4
Model V2 pick: Calgary Flames at 52.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Calgary Flames logo
Away team

Calgary Flames

52.0%
Fair American -108
Fair decimal 1.92
Best market +100 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 50.0%
Edge +2.0%
Expected value +4.0%
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

48.0%
Fair American +108
Fair decimal 2.08
Best market -110 · DraftKings
Market implied 52.4%
Edge -4.4%
Expected value -8.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 3, 2026.

Calgary Flames

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

14:06 together · 1 game

xG share40.2%
Corsi for / against
14 / 14
Fenwick for / against
8 / 12
Corsi share
50.0%
Fenwick share
40.0%
xG for / against
0.64 / 0.94
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

15:00 together · 2 games

xG share51.8%
Corsi for / against
16 / 18
Fenwick for / against
8 / 12
Corsi share
47.1%
Fenwick share
40.0%
xG for / against
0.59 / 0.55
Defense pair

25:06 together · 2 games

xG share21.7%
Corsi for / against
10 / 34
Fenwick for / against
7 / 26
Corsi share
22.7%
Fenwick share
21.2%
xG for / against
0.48 / 1.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
32
Save %
81.2
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
46.9

Kevin Lankinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 1

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
58
Save %
77.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.39
xG against / game
4.41
xG differential / game
-2.02

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.53
xG against / game
3.76
xG differential / game
-1.23

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
64.0
Corsi share (%)
52.0
Fenwick share (%)
47.7
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
6.0

Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 4.0% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Vancouver Canucks

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
47.0
Corsi share (%)
42.2
Fenwick share (%)
40.3
Faceoff win %
49.6
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 22.5 · Shooting: 28.9% · Avg distance: 35.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
8Points5
0.400Points %0.192
23Goals for37
39Goals against60
-16Goal differential-23
W3Current streakL4
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
4Games6
1Wins1
2Points2
-10Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
4-6-0Record0-9-1
8Points1
23Goals for20
39Goals against45
-16Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 6 wins
Total goals32 – 35
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game3.2 / 3.5
Shots per game25.7 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 28, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 7 34 - 23 View
Nov 23, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 21 - 31 View
Oct 9, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 5 18 - 26 View
Mar 12, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 31 - 23 View
Dec 31, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 24 - 29 View
Nov 12, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 3 29 - 32 View
Oct 9, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 5 26 - 24 View
Apr 16, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 40 - 31 View
Mar 23, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 4 24 - 26 View
Dec 2, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 22 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CGY VAN