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Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 4, 2026.

October 4, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Calgary Flames

4-6-0

1
Final
Home

Seattle Kraken

7-4-1

6 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 50.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Calgary Flames logo
Away team

Calgary Flames

49.4%
Fair American +102
Fair decimal 2.02
Best market +134 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 42.7%
Edge +6.7%
Expected value +15.6%
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

50.6%
Fair American -102
Fair decimal 1.98
Best market -150 · BetMGM
Market implied 60.0%
Edge -9.4%
Expected value -15.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 4, 2026.

Calgary Flames

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
0-2
Net units
-2.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
0-2
Net units
-2.00
ROI
-100.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

20:58 together · 2 games

xG share50.7%
Corsi for / against
38 / 22
Fenwick for / against
23 / 14
Corsi share
63.3%
Fenwick share
62.2%
xG for / against
1.40 / 1.36
Defense pair

24:31 together · 2 games

xG share41.2%
Corsi for / against
26 / 24
Fenwick for / against
16 / 17
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
48.5%
xG for / against
0.87 / 1.24
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

29:38 together · 2 games

xG share53.4%
Corsi for / against
21 / 36
Fenwick for / against
17 / 23
Corsi share
36.8%
Fenwick share
42.5%
xG for / against
1.45 / 1.27
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 3

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
25
Save %
88.0
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
28.0

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 3

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
25
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
16.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.22
xG against / game
3.81
xG differential / game
-1.59

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
2.99
xG differential / game
0.07

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
63.5
Corsi share (%)
51.0
Fenwick share (%)
49.4
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
7.5

Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 4.1% · Avg distance: 35.3 ft

Seattle Kraken

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
48.5
Corsi share (%)
43.5
Fenwick share (%)
46.8
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
8Points15
0.400Points %0.625
23Goals for45
39Goals against42
-16Goal differential3
W3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
4Games5
1Wins3
2Points6
-10Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
4-6-0Record6-3-1
8Points13
23Goals for38
39Goals against38
-16Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 7 wins
Total goals20 – 33
Goal differential -13 / +13
Goals per game2.0 / 3.3
Shots per game33.8 / 26.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 1, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
6 - 1 32 - 25 View
Apr 11, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 27 - 21 View
Jan 5, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 1 28 - 42 View
Dec 18, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 23 - 46 View
Mar 25, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 4 29 - 37 View
Feb 8, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 2 28 - 29 View
Feb 2, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 35 - 31 View
Oct 19, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 2 22 - 23 View
Mar 4, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 2 30 - 37 View
Dec 27, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 1 21 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CGY SEA