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Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 26, 2026.

February 26, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

143:55 together · 10 games

xG share36.6%
Corsi for / against
128 / 164
Fenwick for / against
80 / 102
Corsi share
43.8%
Fenwick share
44.0%
xG for / against
3.51 / 6.07
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:27 together · 9 games

xG share36.7%
Corsi for / against
56 / 71
Fenwick for / against
39 / 54
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
41.9%
xG for / against
2.59 / 4.47
Defense pair

120:06 together · 9 games

xG share39.1%
Corsi for / against
108 / 132
Fenwick for / against
77 / 100
Corsi share
45.0%
Fenwick share
43.5%
xG for / against
5.40 / 8.42
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Feb 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
154
Save %
92.9
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
33.8

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Feb 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
87.4
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
23.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.72
xG against / game
3.14
xG differential / game
-0.42

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.94
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.6
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.2
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 8.5% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
45.2
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
46.5
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
10Points13
0.455Points %0.542
28Goals for37
41Goals against43
-13Goal differential-6
W4Current streakL1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
4Games4
1Wins2
2Points4
-10Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
5-5-0Record4-5-1
10Points9
27Goals for28
35Goals against36
-8Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 8 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 2 wins
Total goals33 – 24
Goal differential +9 / -9
Goals per game3.3 / 2.4
Shots per game35.1 / 25.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 3 25 - 42 View
Dec 16, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 6 30 - 26 View
Nov 13, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
0 - 2 17 - 36 View
Apr 13, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 5 30 - 30 View
Apr 7, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 32 - 31 View
Feb 23, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 3 29 - 36 View
Dec 28, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 33 - 22 View
Apr 18, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 5 17 - 37 View
Apr 9, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 41 - 22 View
Feb 15, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
6 - 3 31 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.