Forward trio
65:50 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 63 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 49
- Corsi share
- 49.6%
- Fenwick share
- 46.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.46 / 2.66
Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 10, 2026.
January 10, 2026
· 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
158:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 137 / 158
- Fenwick for / against
- 97 / 123
- Corsi share
- 46.4%
- Fenwick share
- 44.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.99 / 8.81
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
118:19 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 138 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 108 / 80
- Corsi share
- 55.2%
- Fenwick share
- 57.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.84 / 4.84
Defense pair
150:01 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 139 / 135
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 85
- Corsi share
- 50.7%
- Fenwick share
- 52.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.92 / 5.03
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dustin Wolf
Calgary Flames · Last start: Jan 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 156
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 33.3
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 118
- Save %
- 91.5
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.45
- xG differential / game
- -0.74
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.12
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- 0.30
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 50.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 63.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.7
- Faceoff win %
- 50.7
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 11 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 28 | Goals for | 40 |
| 41 | Goals against | 40 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W4 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 27 | Goals for | 27 |
| 35 | Goals against | 35 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
5 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
5 wins
Total goals26 – 28
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game2.6 / 2.8
Shots per game31.8 / 35.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 6 | 32 - 43 | View |
| Oct 22, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 38 - 25 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 36 - 29 | View |
| Nov 23, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 2 | 34 - 39 | View |
| Oct 25, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 36 | View |
| Nov 29, 2021 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 2 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Oct 28, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 45 | View |
| Dec 17, 2019 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 1 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Nov 25, 2019 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 38 | View |