Forward trio
66:51 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 72 / 74
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 51
- Corsi share
- 49.3%
- Fenwick share
- 51.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.99 / 3.56
Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.
March 10, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
80:40 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 51 / 54
- Corsi share
- 51.6%
- Fenwick share
- 48.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.78 / 3.06
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
84:25 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 76 / 55
- Corsi share
- 57.8%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.70 / 2.71
Defense pair
94:55 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 52
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 57.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.46 / 2.72
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 9
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 156
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 34.6
Igor Shesterkin
New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 9
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 3.41
- xG differential / game
- -0.35
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 2.47
- xG against / game
- 3.32
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.8
- Faceoff win %
- 46.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 8.9% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 42.9
- Faceoff win %
- 54.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 22.6 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 0.417 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 28 | Goals for | 44 |
| 45 | Goals against | 42 |
| -17 | Goal differential | 2 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Points | 12 |
| -14 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 26 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 36 |
| -9 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
7 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
3 wins
Total goals33 – 20
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game3.3 / 2.0
Shots per game33.6 / 25.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 5 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 1 | 35 - 13 | View |
| Nov 21, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 49 | View |
| Feb 12, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 2 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 20 - 26 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Feb 6, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Nov 6, 2021 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 6 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Oct 25, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 1 | 37 - 29 | View |
| Jan 2, 2020 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 29 | View |