Skip to content

Calgary Flames vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 10, 2026.

December 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Calgary Flames

5-7-0

39.9%
at
Home

New York Islanders

6-4-2

60.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Islanders at 60.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Calgary Flames logo
Away team

Calgary Flames

39.9%
Fair American +151
Fair decimal 2.51
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

60.1%
Fair American -151
Fair decimal 1.66
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 10, 2026.

Calgary Flames

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-0.25
ROI
-8.3%

Value Picks

Bets
12
Record
5-7
Net units
0.73
ROI
6.1%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.

All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

130:50 together · 10 games

xG share56.0%
Corsi for / against
135 / 93
Fenwick for / against
93 / 69
Corsi share
59.2%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
6.37 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
163
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
27.6

Semyon Varlamov

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
92
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
40.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.79
xG against / game
3.18
xG differential / game
-0.40

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.6
Corsi share (%)
50.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.7
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.3
Faceoff win %
56.2
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
10Points14
0.417Points %0.583
28Goals for36
45Goals against32
-17Goal differential4
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
5Games6
1Wins4
2Points9
-14Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
5-5-0Record5-3-2
10Points12
26Goals for29
35Goals against30
-9Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 7 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 3 wins
Total goals38 – 25
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game3.8 / 2.5
Shots per game30.7 / 29.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 14, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 32 - 27 View
Jan 17, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 30 - 19 View
Mar 22, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 35 - 29 View
Nov 19, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 2 29 - 31 View
Feb 10, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 2 24 - 36 View
Nov 18, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 4 33 - 39 View
Jan 6, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 25 - 21 View
Nov 7, 2022
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 46 - 32 View
Feb 12, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 5 21 - 29 View
Nov 20, 2021
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 2 31 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CGY NYI