Forward trio
53:45 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 50 / 59
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 43
- Corsi share
- 45.9%
- Fenwick share
- 46.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.35 / 2.94
Calgary Flames vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.
March 14, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
58:48 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 64 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 51
- Corsi share
- 45.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.14 / 2.94
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
88:10 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 109 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 69
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 51.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.09 / 4.60
Defense pair
136:08 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 143 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 101 / 84
- Corsi share
- 56.1%
- Fenwick share
- 54.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.72 / 6.14
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dustin Wolf
Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 88.1
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 25.9
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 146
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 42.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.82
- xG against / game
- 3.53
- xG differential / game
- -0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 3.13
- xG against / game
- 3.28
- xG differential / game
- -0.15
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.5
- Faceoff win %
- 54.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.4
Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 0.417 | Points % | 0.583 |
| 28 | Goals for | 36 |
| 45 | Goals against | 32 |
| -17 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 9 |
| -14 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 26 | Goals for | 29 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| -9 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
8 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
2 wins
Total goals39 – 23
Goal differential
+16
/
-16
Goals per game3.9 / 2.3
Shots per game30.2 / 29.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 4 | 30 - 19 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 36 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 4 | 33 - 39 | View |
| Jan 6, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Nov 7, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 46 - 32 | View |
| Feb 12, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 5 | 21 - 29 | View |
| Nov 20, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Feb 26, 2019 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 1 | 27 - 27 | View |