Away team
Calgary Flames
32.6%
Fair American
+207
Fair decimal
3.07
Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2027
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 19, 2027.
March 19, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Minnesota Wild at 67.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Minnesota Wild
67.4%
Fair American
-207
Fair decimal
1.48
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 19, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 156 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 63
- Corsi share
- 66.4%
- Fenwick share
- 65.6%
- xG for / against
- 9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair
95:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 42
- Corsi share
- 67.0%
- Fenwick share
- 70.0%
- xG for / against
- 7.48 / 3.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Jesper Wallstedt
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 92.5
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.93
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 1.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 20 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 28 | Goals for | 44 |
| 41 | Goals against | 31 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 13 |
| W4 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 27 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 23 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
4 wins
Total goals27 – 26
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.6
Shots per game31.1 / 26.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 2 | 37 - 22 | View |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 30 - 24 | View |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Minnesota Wild
|
0 - 2 | 36 - 19 | View |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 4 | 18 - 32 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 4 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 1 | 33 - 29 | View |
| Dec 14, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 37 - 32 | View |
| Dec 5, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 2 | 29 - 30 | View |