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Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.

January 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

145:33 together · 10 games

xG share38.7%
Corsi for / against
139 / 168
Fenwick for / against
86 / 114
Corsi share
45.3%
Fenwick share
43.0%
xG for / against
4.47 / 7.07
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

190:37 together · 10 games

xG share48.4%
Corsi for / against
199 / 167
Fenwick for / against
138 / 130
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
51.5%
xG for / against
8.44 / 8.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Jan 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
148
Save %
87.8
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
26.4

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
85.9
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
32.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
3.50
xG differential / game
-0.98

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.31
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
0.17

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.5
Corsi share (%)
47.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.0
Faceoff win %
46.9
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 7.7% · Avg distance: 35.2 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.7
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.9
Faceoff win %
44.5
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
10Points20
0.417Points %0.714
28Goals for44
45Goals against31
-17Goal differential13
L1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
5Games4
1Wins4
2Points8
-14Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
5-5-0Record7-2-1
10Points15
26Goals for33
35Goals against23
-9Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
Total goals25 – 24
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game2.5 / 2.4
Shots per game31.6 / 27.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 4, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 27 - 31 View
Nov 9, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 2 36 - 19 View
Apr 11, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 18 - 32 View
Jan 25, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 4 29 - 25 View
Nov 23, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 4 23 - 31 View
Jan 2, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 1 33 - 29 View
Dec 14, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 37 - 32 View
Dec 5, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 2 29 - 30 View
Mar 7, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 0 26 - 40 View
Mar 4, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 0 33 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.