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Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.

February 28, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

149:09 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
162 / 113
Fenwick for / against
105 / 87
Corsi share
58.9%
Fenwick share
54.7%
xG for / against
6.91 / 5.51
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

73:51 together · 8 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
71 / 73
Fenwick for / against
51 / 55
Corsi share
49.3%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
3.93 / 4.17
Defense pair

109:20 together · 10 games

xG share39.8%
Corsi for / against
100 / 127
Fenwick for / against
65 / 90
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
41.9%
xG for / against
3.98 / 6.02
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
26.8

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
31.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.71
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.55

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.64
xG against / game
3.12
xG differential / game
-0.48

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.0
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.0
Faceoff win %
47.5
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.9
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
48.2
Faceoff win %
42.9
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
8Points6
0.400Points %0.333
23Goals for21
39Goals against32
-16Goal differential-11
W3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
4Games3
1Wins0
2Points0
-10Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
4-6-0Record2-5-2
8Points6
23Goals for21
39Goals against32
-16Goal differential-11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 3 wins
Total goals28 – 26
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game2.8 / 2.6
Shots per game29.0 / 29.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 13, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 38 - 21 View
Apr 17, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 1 29 - 31 View
Jan 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 2 32 - 18 View
Nov 11, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 29 - 28 View
Apr 11, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 23 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 18 - 35 View
Feb 27, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 23 - 37 View
Dec 23, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 5 32 - 34 View
Mar 28, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 2 33 - 32 View
Mar 20, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 8 18 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.