Away team
Calgary Flames
40.6%
Fair American
+146
Fair decimal
2.46
Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 1, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 1, 2026.
December 1, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Detroit Red Wings at 59.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Detroit Red Wings
59.4%
Fair American
-146
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 1, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 35
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 28.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 28 | Goals for | 33 |
| 41 | Goals against | 37 |
| -13 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W4 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| -10 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 27 | Goals for | 31 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
2 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
8 wins
Total goals19 – 33
Goal differential
-14
/
+14
Goals per game1.9 / 3.3
Shots per game33.1 / 24.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 25 | View |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 37 | View |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 34 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 0 | 21 - 38 | View |
| Oct 22, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 6 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Feb 16, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 35 | View |
| Feb 9, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 36 - 17 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 3 | 19 - 43 | View |