Forward trio
44:13 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 50
- Fenwick for / against
- 30 / 37
- Corsi share
- 44.4%
- Fenwick share
- 44.8%
- xG for / against
- 1.98 / 2.54
Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 16, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 16, 2026.
March 16, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
71:33 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 79 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 64
- Corsi share
- 46.5%
- Fenwick share
- 48.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.60 / 3.68
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
61:09 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 50 / 41
- Corsi share
- 55.1%
- Fenwick share
- 54.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.47 / 2.50
Defense pair
157:22 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 154 / 157
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 109
- Corsi share
- 49.5%
- Fenwick share
- 52.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.73 / 8.00
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 88.2
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 35.4
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 25.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 3.53
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.03
- xG against / game
- 3.18
- xG differential / game
- -0.15
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.3
- Faceoff win %
- 45.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.4
- Faceoff win %
- 50.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.1% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 28 | Goals for | 33 |
| 41 | Goals against | 37 |
| -13 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W4 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| -10 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 27 | Goals for | 31 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
3 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
7 wins
Total goals20 – 29
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.0 / 2.9
Shots per game33.9 / 25.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 37 | View |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 34 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 0 | 21 - 38 | View |
| Oct 22, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 6 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Feb 16, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 35 | View |
| Feb 9, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 36 - 17 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 3 | 19 - 43 | View |
| Oct 21, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 0 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Feb 23, 2020 |
Calgary Flames
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 29 | View |