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Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 7, 2026.

April 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

99:20 together · 10 games

xG share48.4%
Corsi for / against
82 / 93
Fenwick for / against
66 / 69
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
48.9%
xG for / against
3.98 / 4.24
Defense pair

156:55 together · 10 games

xG share41.3%
Corsi for / against
111 / 163
Fenwick for / against
86 / 126
Corsi share
40.5%
Fenwick share
40.6%
xG for / against
5.30 / 7.53
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

124:43 together · 10 games

xG share41.7%
Corsi for / against
101 / 125
Fenwick for / against
69 / 83
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
45.4%
xG for / against
4.00 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Apr 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
166
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
29.5

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Apr 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
33.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.31
xG differential / game
-0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
-0.55

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.9
Corsi share (%)
43.4
Fenwick share (%)
44.0
Faceoff win %
53.9
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.3
Corsi share (%)
46.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 21.5 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
10Points15
0.455Points %0.682
28Goals for32
41Goals against20
-13Goal differential12
W4Current streakW5
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
4Games6
1Wins4
2Points8
-10Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
5-5-0Record7-2-1
10Points15
27Goals for32
35Goals against16
-8Goal differential16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
Total goals34 – 43
Goal differential -9 / +9
Goals per game3.4 / 4.3
Shots per game34.6 / 27.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 3, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
6 - 1 35 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 3 30 - 33 View
Mar 27, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 2 19 - 48 View
Mar 6, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 28 - 27 View
Dec 8, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 6 31 - 28 View
Nov 30, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 4 16 - 36 View
Nov 24, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
7 - 4 27 - 28 View
Nov 1, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 30 - 47 View
Mar 18, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
6 - 5 26 - 38 View
Mar 6, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 4 37 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.