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Calgary Flames vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 18, 2027

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 18, 2027.

January 18, 2027 · 7:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Chicago Blackhawks at 53.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Calgary Flames logo
Away team

Calgary Flames

46.5%
Fair American +115
Fair decimal 2.15
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

53.5%
Fair American -115
Fair decimal 1.87
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 18, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-0.25
ROI
-8.3%

Value Picks

Bets
11
Record
5-6
Net units
1.73
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

60:08 together · 8 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
69 / 51
Fenwick for / against
52 / 37
Corsi share
57.5%
Fenwick share
58.4%
xG for / against
2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair

113:54 together · 10 games

xG share54.4%
Corsi for / against
125 / 95
Fenwick for / against
92 / 72
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
56.1%
xG for / against
5.68 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

66:26 together · 9 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
40 / 56
Fenwick for / against
32 / 40
Corsi share
41.7%
Fenwick share
44.4%
xG for / against
2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair

121:03 together · 10 games

xG share41.1%
Corsi for / against
69 / 113
Fenwick for / against
56 / 85
Corsi share
37.9%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
3.65 / 5.24
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
163
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
27.6

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
42.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.71
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
-0.47

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.60
xG against / game
3.39
xG differential / game
-0.79

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.6
Corsi share (%)
50.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.9
Corsi share (%)
44.9
Fenwick share (%)
44.0
Faceoff win %
44.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
10Points8
0.455Points %0.333
28Goals for26
41Goals against44
-13Goal differential-18
W4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
4Games8
1Wins4
2Points8
-10Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
5-5-0Record4-6-0
10Points8
27Goals for24
35Goals against33
-8Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 5 wins
Total goals27 – 28
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.8
Shots per game30.6 / 26.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 15, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 23 - 23 View
Nov 18, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 5 21 - 23 View
Nov 7, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 0 27 - 33 View
Jan 13, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 2 36 - 25 View
Dec 21, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 6 28 - 30 View
Oct 15, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 32 - 27 View
Mar 26, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 39 - 27 View
Jan 27, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
0 - 1 32 - 31 View
Jan 7, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 30 - 20 View
Apr 4, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 23 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.