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Calgary Flames vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 15, 2026.

January 15, 2026 · 7:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

155:48 together · 10 games

xG share38.2%
Corsi for / against
132 / 165
Fenwick for / against
92 / 129
Corsi share
44.4%
Fenwick share
41.6%
xG for / against
5.27 / 8.52
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

124:32 together · 10 games

xG share45.9%
Corsi for / against
106 / 102
Fenwick for / against
73 / 85
Corsi share
51.0%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
4.88 / 5.75
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Jan 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
171
Save %
88.3
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
30.4

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Jan 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
146
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
41.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.79
xG against / game
3.60
xG differential / game
-0.81

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
3.02
xG against / game
3.24
xG differential / game
-0.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.8
Corsi share (%)
48.1
Fenwick share (%)
46.4
Faceoff win %
47.9
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 7.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.0
Corsi share (%)
51.0
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
10Points8
0.455Points %0.333
28Goals for26
41Goals against44
-13Goal differential-18
W4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
4Games8
1Wins4
2Points8
-10Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
5-5-0Record4-6-0
10Points8
27Goals for24
35Goals against33
-8Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 6 wins
Total goals25 – 32
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game2.5 / 3.2
Shots per game31.8 / 26.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 18, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 5 21 - 23 View
Nov 7, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 0 27 - 33 View
Jan 13, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 2 36 - 25 View
Dec 21, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 6 28 - 30 View
Oct 15, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 32 - 27 View
Mar 26, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 39 - 27 View
Jan 27, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
0 - 1 32 - 31 View
Jan 7, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 30 - 20 View
Apr 4, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 23 - 36 View
Jan 26, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 1 29 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.