Away team
Calgary Flames
37.6%
Fair American
+166
Fair decimal
2.66
Calgary Flames vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 13, 2027
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 13, 2027.
March 13, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Boston Bruins at 62.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Boston Bruins
62.4%
Fair American
-166
Fair decimal
1.6
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 13, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.79
- ROI
- 11.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 71
- Corsi share
- 57.3%
- Fenwick share
- 56.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.69 / 4.86
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 45
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.99 / 3.07
Defense pair
113:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 81
- Corsi share
- 44.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 5.77
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.20
- xG differential / game
- -0.48
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 48.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 19 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.792 |
| 28 | Goals for | 48 |
| 41 | Goals against | 26 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 22 |
| W4 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Points | 10 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 27 | Goals for | 41 |
| 35 | Goals against | 23 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
4 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
6 wins
Total goals26 – 27
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game2.6 / 2.7
Shots per game33.1 / 28.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 30 | View |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 20 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 23 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 30 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Feb 28, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 57 | View |
| Nov 10, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Dec 11, 2021 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 27 - 42 | View |
| Nov 21, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 28 | View |