Away team
Buffalo Sabres
46.2%
Fair American
+116
Fair decimal
2.16
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 2, 2027
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 2, 2027.
January 2, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 53.8%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.8%
Fair American
-116
Fair decimal
1.86
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 109 | Points | 106 |
| 0.665 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 288 | Goals for | 290 |
| 241 | Goals against | 231 |
| 47 | Goal differential | 59 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 52 | Points | 53 |
| 17 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 34 | Goals for | 26 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
4 wins
Total goals41 – 37
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game4.1 / 3.7
Shots per game31.2 / 27.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
7 - 8 | 28 - 42 | View |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
6 - 2 | 35 - 38 | View |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 7 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 38 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Feb 29, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 1 | 16 - 27 | View |