Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on February 28, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 63.8% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(63.8%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
February 28, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Buffalo Sabres
36.2%
Fair American: +176
Fair Decimal: 2.76
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
63.8%
Fair American: -176
Fair Decimal: 1.57
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 109 | Points | 106 |
| 0.665 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 288 | Goals For | 290 |
| 241 | Goals Against | 231 |
| 47 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| OT1 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
BUF (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 52 | Points | 53 |
| 17 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 34 | Goals For | 26 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 4 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
BUF
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 37 | Total Goals | 36 |
| +1 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 3.7 | Goals / Game | 3.6 |
| 29.4 | Shots / Game | 29.0 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 7 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 38 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Feb 29, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 1 | 16 - 27 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Mar 4, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 5 | 36 - 34 | View |
| Feb 23, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
6 - 5 | 23 - 41 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.