Away team
Buffalo Sabres
40.6%
Fair American
+146
Fair decimal
2.46
Buffalo Sabres vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 20, 2027
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 20, 2027.
February 20, 2027
· 12:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 59.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New Jersey Devils
59.4%
Fair American
-146
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 20, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -1.66
- ROI
- -23.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 2.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 0.74
- ROI
- 6.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.37
- ROI
- 22.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 34
- Corsi share
- 67.1%
- Fenwick share
- 64.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 2.16
Defense pair
82:50 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 49
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.17 / 3.45
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
84:14 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 40
- Corsi share
- 63.6%
- Fenwick share
- 62.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.88 / 2.30
Defense pair
161:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 192 / 134
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 89
- Corsi share
- 58.9%
- Fenwick share
- 57.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.24 / 5.26
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 26.8
Connor Hellebuyck
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 27
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 18
- Save %
- 94.4
- Goals allowed
- 1
- Close-range shots %
- 55.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.17
- xG against / game
- 3.59
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.43
- xG against / game
- 2.21
- xG differential / game
- 1.22
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 58.0
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 33 | Goals for | 41 |
| 41 | Goals against | 33 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
NJD home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 11 | Points | 14 |
| 26 | Goals for | 38 |
| 32 | Goals against | 25 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NJD
6 wins
Total goals24 – 37
Goal differential
-13
/
+13
Goals per game2.4 / 3.7
Shots per game29.3 / 29.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 1 | 30 - 28 | View |
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 0 | 23 - 42 | View |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Oct 5, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New Jersey Devils
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Oct 4, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Mar 29, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 5 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Nov 25, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 7 | 12 - 37 | View |
| Oct 27, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New Jersey Devils
|
4 - 5 | 27 - 39 | View |
| Apr 11, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 6 | 38 - 30 | View |