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Buffalo Sabres vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 25, 2026.

February 25, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

105:32 together · 10 games

xG share46.0%
Corsi for / against
86 / 109
Fenwick for / against
68 / 91
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
42.8%
xG for / against
6.14 / 7.22
Defense pair

104:43 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
81 / 96
Fenwick for / against
66 / 76
Corsi share
45.8%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
4.71 / 5.28
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:04 together · 6 games

xG share54.3%
Corsi for / against
49 / 35
Fenwick for / against
30 / 27
Corsi share
58.3%
Fenwick share
52.6%
xG for / against
2.02 / 1.70
Defense pair

79:44 together · 8 games

xG share44.9%
Corsi for / against
65 / 81
Fenwick for / against
51 / 54
Corsi share
44.5%
Fenwick share
48.6%
xG for / against
2.68 / 3.30
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Alex Lyon

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Feb 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
167
Save %
93.4
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
29.3

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Feb 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
88.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
38.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.31
xG differential / game
-0.35

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.67
xG differential / game
0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.9
Corsi share (%)
45.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.5
Faceoff win %
43.6
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
51.9
Fenwick share (%)
51.3
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 7.4% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
13Points16
0.542Points %0.667
33Goals for41
41Goals against33
-8Goal differential8
W1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
6Games8
2Wins6
7Points12
-3Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
4-3-3Record7-3-0
11Points14
26Goals for38
32Goals against25
-6Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 4 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 6 wins
Total goals27 – 40
Goal differential -13 / +13
Goals per game2.7 / 4.0
Shots per game28.9 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 21, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 1 25 - 27 View
Nov 28, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
5 - 0 23 - 42 View
Feb 2, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 4 24 - 34 View
Oct 5, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 3 18 - 37 View
Oct 4, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 1 23 - 31 View
Mar 29, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 5 30 - 36 View
Nov 25, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 7 12 - 37 View
Oct 27, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 5 27 - 39 View
Apr 11, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 6 38 - 30 View
Mar 24, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 5 31 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.